WJTV News Channel 12 - Dry Saturday; Storms Likely Sunday

Dry Saturday; Storms Likely Sunday

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A nice Friday, Saturday looks to stay dry. Sunday continues to be the main focus of the next seven days, while cold air will be the result heading into 2014.

Cold air will settle into Eastern North Carolina tonight. Most areas will drop into the upper 20s and lower 30s inland; middle 30s near the coast with mostly clearskies. We'lll likely start Saturday with mostly sunny skies, but increasing high and mid level cloudiness will take us into the afternoon hours. 850mb temperatures will warm to about 7 degrees celsius; that should allow for temperatures to make a run into the upper 50s and lower 60s. A chance for shower may be needed late in the day as the warm front begin to work northward.

Sunday continues to look to be the big weather day. Rain chances will likely beginning to move into the fold late on Saturday and into Sunday. The track of the low (taking an I-95 track) along with the advancing warm front is cause for concern with the turning of the winds with altitude and the potential for instability coming into play. Temperatures look to shoot up into the middle 60s for most of the area; while coastal areas may tag 70. North and west of the track of the low will likely stay in the 50s as colder air wraps around on the back side. Right now, most of computer models suggest most of the our coverage area will be in the warm sector of this system. With modest instability and decent shear, strong low-level jet, isolated strong/severe storms with gusty winds. An isolated spin-up tornado can't be completely ruled out either. This is something we'll continue to monitor and the small mesoscale features will become clearer heading into Saturday. We'll be here on WNCT.com, as well as our Facebook and Twitter pages and if needed, on the TV side as well.

That system will be quick hitter, in and out on Sunday. We'll likely trend drying into the overnight hours of Sunday with the cold front right on it's heels. The cold air will likely be delay Monday with temperatures will working into the lower and middle 50s.

The GFS is still painting the potential for light precipitation sneaking in early on Tuesday. Temperatures throughout the column would support a few rain/snow showers north of US 70 and west of US 17. Right now, confidence, due to model inconsistency, is low on this possibility. Temperatures tank by Tuesday, only afford the middle 40s. We'll stay dry Wednesday and a touch warmer, possibly creeping up to 50. Uncertainty in the forecast for Thursday and Friday as the GFS is painting another coastal low with cold air wrapping on the back half, while the European model is dry. The GFS has been consistent with this feature though for the time being we'll hold off on introducing major rain chances. Temperatures will likely fall off again by next Friday.
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